Winter weather update

A complex winter weather event will be unfolding across Oklahoma on Sunday and Monday.  It appears that most of the state will see at least some snow.  Northeast Oklahoma may only see about an inch of snow, but this long duration event is likely to accumulate at least 1 to 3 inches of snow across the remainder of the state.

There are two areas that appear to have the potential for higher amounts.
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1) South central and southeast Oklahoma.  Two subtle waves embedded in west southwest flow will be tracking across the Southern Plains, generating widespread precipitation.  The first period of precipitation will start around Noon on Sunday and last for about 12 hours.  After a break, precipitation is expected to start around Noon on Monday and last through the daylight hours.  With about 18 hours of total snowfall, the potential exists for about 2 to 4 inches of accumulation.  Amounts greater than 4 inches would not be surprising should persistent banding set up.  Forecast soundings along and just north of the Red River suggest that some of the precipitation could fall as sleet.  Should this occur, overall accumulations would be limited.

2) Panhandle and western Oklahoma.  Snow is expected to develop across the Panhandle this Saturday evening, enhanced by low level upslope flow across eastern portions of Colorado and New Mexico.  Heavy snow will be possible through the morning hours of Sunday.  Bands of snow are expected to extend eastward across the main body of Oklahoma from early Sunday through Monday morning.  Again, the long duration of this event, combined with any persistent banding could result in as much as 3 to 5 inches of snow over parts of northwest Oklahoma.