SEVERECAST DAY 10 – MIDNIGHT, WEDNESDAY, MARCH 10

…SEVERE THREAT RETURNS TO OKLAHOMA ON WEDNESDAY…

TOUGH FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY.  THERE ARE SLIGHT DIFFERENCES IN THE EVENING NAM AND GFS WITH REGARD TO THE POSITION OF THE MID LEVEL STORM/SURFACE REFLECTION THAT WILL BE AFFECTING OKLAHOMA.  INTENSE SYSTEM WILL BE LOCATED IN EASTERN NEW MEXICO AT DAY BREAK… SHIFTING EAST NORTHEASTWARD INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA BY NOON AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA BY SUNSET.  THE NAM IS SLIGHTLY FARTHER NORTH WITH THE UPPER LOW THAN THE GFS.  AT THE SURFACE… STRONG PRESSURE FALLS WILL BEGIN AT THE START OF THE DAY OVER WESTERN OKLAHOMA/TEXAS WITH DEEPENING CYCLONE EVOLVING IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA BY NOON.  GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM… IF RAPID MOISTURE RETURN WERE TO OCCUR… THERE WOULD LIKELY BE A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA.  AT THIS TIME… THERE ARE ENOUGH QUESTIONS REGARDING MOISTURE RETURN TO LIMIT SEVERE POTENTIAL.

STILL, THERE ARE A COUPLE OF AREAS THAT NEED TO BE IDENTIFIED FOR A RISK OF SEVERE STORMS.  FIRST… I WILL ADD MUCH OF NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WHERE THERE IS ENOUGH EVIDENCE TO SUPPORT AFTERNOON CONVECTION ALONG AND NORTH OF THE MID LEVEL COLD CORE TRACK.  THESE STORMS MAY VERY WELL PRODUCE HAIL TO SEVERE SIZE AND GUSTY WINDS.  TORNADO THREAT IN THIS AREA MAY BE NON-ZERO… BUT DOESN’T WARRANT FORECAST CONSIDERATION AT THIS TIME.  THIS WILL HAVE TO BE RE-EVALUATED IN THE MORNING.

A MORE CONCERNING SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL DEVELOP BETWEEN NOON AND 3 P.M. OVER NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.  MOST MODEL DATA SUGGEST SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN TO TAKE PLACE IN THIS AREA TO SUPPORT A MODERATELY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE SURFACE LOW TRACK.  LOW LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR SHOULD BE IMPRESSIVE AND MORE THAN ADEQUATE TO SUPPORT ROTATING STORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE HAIL… DAMAGING WINDS AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES.  THE BIGGEST CONCERN IN THIS PART OF THE FORECAST IS THAT IT MAY NEED TO BE SHIFTED NORTHEASTWARD AND POSSIBLY – OUT OF THE STATE.

Buying from us is cheap sildenafil india secure and convenient as just using an over-the-counter pump for a few days after operation. This drug also carries some safety measures and generic cialis http://respitecaresa.org/staff/b-trevino/ partial reactions like all other drugs but significantly in a lesser degree and frequency. Female infertility is a condition wherein a female is unable to conceive and bear a child. super viagra online It’s a “male” hormone From a biological perspective, men and women You will find many different herbal products designed to help men and women with their particular needs. buy viagra for cheap TRAILING DRYLINE SOUTHWARD THROUGH FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA ALSO HAS THE POTENTIAL TO GENERATE ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS BY AFTERNOON.  AGAIN… GIVEN THE SHEAR PROFILES… SUPERCELL STORMS WOULD BE POSSIBLE WITH A LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT.

THE OVERALL CONFIDENCE IN THIS FORECAST IS LOW.  TRACK AND SPEED OF THE UPPER SYSTEM AND THE ASSOCIATED LOW… LOW LEVEL BOUNDARIES AND RETURN OF MOISTURE/INSTABILITY ARE ALL IN QUESTION.  THERE WILL LIKELY BE ADJUSTMENTS MADE DURING THE MORNING HOURS.

ON THIS DATE IN 1986… SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE OBSERVED IN EVERY SECTION OF OKLAHOMA EXCEPT THE PANHANDLE.  THERE WERE 48 REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  HAIL REACHED GOLFBALL SIZE IN CLEVELAND, HUGHES, PONTOTOC AND LOVE COUNTIES.

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