Outlook (Thursday-Sunday)

12z solutions of the GFS and ECMWF are in good agreement through the upcoming weekend.  An upper level trough of low pressure over the Northern Rockies will track eastward, reaching the Great Lakes by Saturday.  While the strongest part of the trough tracks eastward, a digging segment at the base of the trough will track through the Plains toward the Lower Mississippi Valley.  The cold front associated with this trough will move across Oklahoma on Thursday.  We will see temperatures near, or slightly above normal on Thursday, then falling to below normal Friday through Sunday.  Lifting associated with the cold front and short wave trough will begin to increase chances of showers and thunderstorms statewide on Thursday.  Precipitation will be coming to an end over NW Oklahoma Thursday night, but lingering chances of rain will continue over SE Oklahoma Friday morning and afternoon.  Some of the storms will be on the strong side with the potential to produce gusty winds and small hail.  After the precipitation ends on Friday, the remainder of the weekend will be dry.  Deepening low pressure over the Central and Northern High Plains on Sunday will result in winds becoming southerly with gusts to near 40 mph over the Panhandle.

Okarche Weather:

Thursday morning: 69

Thursday: 88 / Showers and thunderstorms possible

Friday morning: 66 / Showers and thunderstorms likely

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