Rain chances increase over the weekend…

An upper level high pressure area has now shifted west of Oklahoma and flow aloft is becoming northerly.  Early Saturday, a strong short wave trough will be moving southeast through Eastern Montana.  This feature will make it to the Great Lakes region by late Sunday.  This will get a cold front moving south which will enter Northern Oklahoma early on Sunday, and make it to Southern Oklahoma by late in the day.

Confidence is increasing with regard to precipitation chances on Sunday.  A few showers and thunderstorms will be possible Saturday afternoon over Northwest Oklahoma, with more widespread thunderstorm activity making it into Northwest Oklahoma during the overnight hours of Sunday morning.  During the day on Sunday, Showers and thunderstorms will form over the northwest half of the state.  This activity will spread toward the Red River by late in the day.
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Most places will see between 1/10th and 1/2 inch of rain with a few isolated areas seeing upward of an inch.  Also, the atmosphere is expected to become sufficiently unstable so that an isolated severe wind gust will be possible.  A few lingering showers and storms will be possible over Southern Oklahoma on Monday before the precipitation comes to an end.