An upper level low pressure area over the Great Lakes will be lifting northeastward on Monday. High pressure over the Southern U.S. will be strengthening. Between the two, generally zonal flow with embedded short wave troughs will extend from the Central and Northern Rockies to the Midwest. One such trough is expected to be strong enough to enhance warm air advection across the state, leading to showers and thunderstorms from Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning. The greatest chances of storms will be found across the northern half of the state. A boundary / part front and part outflow from previous storms / is expected to be located across NC and NW Oklahoma on Tuesday afternoon. This feature may provide focus for a few storms late on Tuesday, but with stronger capping in place, the activity should be fairly isolated. By Wednesday, an upper level high pressure area will be centered near SW New Mexico and a strong short wave trough will be diving southeastward out of the Northern Plains toward the Midwest. This will allow a cold front to enter far N Oklahoma late on Wednesday with another chance of showers and thunderstorms behind it. Temperatures will be slightly below normal on Monday warming to slightly above by Wednesday.
Monday morning: 68
Monday: 88 / Showers and thunderstorms
Tuesday morning: 71 / Showers
Tuesday: 95 / Showers and thunderstorms
Wednesday morning: 71