Upcoming Winter Storm January 13-16, 2017 (1:11 am Tue, Jan 10)

* Significant impact storm

* All precipitation types possible

* Flooding rainfall possible

“Possible” – it’s a word that will be used frequently over the next several days before the details become clearer.  Nice weather is in store for the state Monday through Thursday.  Gusty southwest winds will help elevate temperatures into the 60’s and 70’s on Tuesday and Wednesday, resulting in elevated fire weather conditions – especially across western Oklahoma.  People across the state should use the upcoming nice weather to prepare for the winter storm expected this weekend.
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Cold air will begin to spread southward across Oklahoma during the morning hours of Thursday.  Meanwhile, a deep trough of low pressure will be approaching from the west.  Not surprisingly, this far out, discrepancies exist among model data concerning the storm.

Widespread precipitation is looking like a certainty.  Given the cold air that is expected to be in place, winter precipitation will be part of the mix.  Forecast soundings show a wide variety of precipitation types possible – ranging from mostly rain over the southeast half of Oklahoma to mostly snow across the Panhandle.  In between – and this covers a large area – everything from rain and freezing rain to sleet and snow will be possible.  A worst case scenario could paint a narrow zone of freezing rain resulting in dangerous travel, downed tree limbs and power lines, and extended power outages.  It is impossible at this time to try and narrow down where this may occur, and the event may need to start unfolding before it becomes clear.

The long duration of precipitation will also lead to flooding rainfall – especially across southeast Oklahoma.  However, widespread heavy rain is likely to fall across almost the entire body of the state.

The forecast will change – daily.  State residents are advised to keep informed and use the nice weather to prepare for the winter storm – this includes testing generators which could be required during or after the event.