Outlook (Thursday-Sunday)

…Mild temperatures / A few thunderstorms possible through the weekend…

The weather pattern through the weekend will be one in transition from a ridge over the western U.S. and a trough over the east, to a trough over the west with building heights over the east.

A strong upper wave is dropping south across the Great Lakes, helping to carve out a long wave trough over the eastern part of the country.  This trough will be shifting east of the east coast on Friday.  Flow will become more zonal by Saturday morning with a strong jet segment tracking eastward near the northern border of the U.S.  Heights over the western U.S. will begin to fall by the end of the weekend as a strong jet segment approaches Baja California.

Surface high pressure is located over the Plains this Wednesday evening.  It will be shifting east to the Mississippi Valley by late Friday.  Meanwhile, pressures over the High Plains will begin to fall.  A few showers and thunderstorms will be possible over eastern Colorado and New Mexico late on Friday.  It’s possible that some of this activity could move into the Panhandle overnight into early Saturday.  The case will be the same late on Saturday, and there are indications that some of the activity could move farther into northwest Oklahoma by early Sunday.

During the day Sunday, low pressure will begin to organize over southwest Kansas.  The pressure gradient will tighten across the state and winds will become gusty out of the south.  There will be an increase in moisture and a few showers and thunderstorms will be possible late in the day across northern and western Oklahoma.

…Hazards…

South winds on Sunday will be gusting between 30 and 40 mph across the state.

There will be a conditional risk of severe thunderstorms across northern and western Oklahoma on Sunday.  Should storms form, marginally severe wind and hail events will be possible.

…Okarche Weather…

Thursday morning: 47

Thursday: 79

Friday morning: 49

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Saturday morning: 52

Saturday: 83

Sunday morning: 54 / Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms

Sunday: 84 / Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms

…PRECIPITATION CHANCES THROUGH SUNDAY…

CHANCE OF 0.01 INCH – 20%

CHANCE OF 0.10 INCH – 10%

CHANCE OF 0.50 INCH – 5%

CHANCE OF 1.00 INCH – 1%

CHANCE OF 2.00 INCH – 0%

CHANCE OF 3.00 INCH – 0%