Not a lot of model difference this evening. A strong trough is lifting northeast across the Great Lakes. Another strong wave will be moving eastward across the Northern Rockies and Northern Plains over the next couple of days. Weak waves in the southern branch flow will push toward/across the Southern Plains, but limited moisture and lift will keep any precipitation on the light side.
An arctic cold front has passed through all but Southeast Oklahoma this Sunday evening. By daybreak on Monday, the entire state will be under the grip of arctic air. There may be some light rain/drizzle over east central and southeast sections of the state Monday morning. Some of this may fall as freezing rain/drizzle, but no significant accumulations are expected.
Tuesday will be a cold day across Oklahoma, but the air mass will try to modify some as winds become southerly. At this point, it seems hard to believe that much modification can be accomplished given the strength of this cold air mass.
Any warming on Tuesday will come to an end on Wednesday as surface pressures fall over Texas. This will allow for winds to become northeasterly once again and cold air to filter back into the state.
There will be a chance at light rain/drizzle across much of the state on Wednesday, but forecast soundings show temperatures too warm for freezing or frozen precipitation.
Okarche Weather:
Monday morning: 21
Monday: 34
Tuesday morning: 23
Tuesday: 43
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Wednesday morning: 32
Wednesday: 47 / Slight chance of rain
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WEDNESDAY:
CHANCE OF 0.01 INCH – 20%
CHANCE OF 0.10 INCH – 5%
CHANCE OF 0.50 INCH – 0%
CHANCE OF 1.00 INCH – 0%
CHANCE OF 2.00 INCH – 0%
CHANCE OF 3.00 INCH – 0%