Outlook (Monday-Wednesday)

The weather pattern over the next several days to a week will not be too different from that which produced our record cool weather earlier this month.  High pressure over the Southern High Plains will migrate westward through Wednesday as a deep trough of low pressure organizes over the Eastern U.S.  Embedded waves in northwest flow will result in a steady feed of below normal temperature air southward across the Plains into Oklahoma.  These waves will also result in widespread convective complexes which will form over Colorado and New Mexico and spread southeastward across Oklahoma.  The bottom line will be seasonably cool temperatures and beneficial rainfall for most of the state.

Elevated storms may form late tonight over Southern Oklahoma and linger into the morning hours of Monday.  More showers and thunderstorms will likely form over the Panhandle by Monday afternoon.  A more organized area of storms will form just northwest of Oklahoma early on Tuesday.  This complex will work southeastward during the day, and persist into Wednesday.  Continued redevelopment of precipitation is possible across the state through the daylight hours on Wednesday.

While severe thunderstorms are not expected, widespread heavy rainfall is.  In some cases, excessive rainfall may lead to flooding and flash flooding.  Currently, it appears that the heaviest rainfall will extend from the Panhandle to central sections of the state, to Southeast Oklahoma.  In general, up to two inches of rain / locally 3 to 4 / can be expected.

Okarche Weather:

Monday morning: 68

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Tuesday morning: 69 / Showers and thunderstorms possible

Tuesday: 81 / Showers and thunderstorms likely

Wednesday morning: 64 / Showers and thunderstorms likely

Wednesday: 71 / Showers and thunderstorms likely