An unusually complicated mid July forecast this period. A strong upper wave will move from near the Canada/North Dakota border this evening to the Midwest/Ohio Valley by Monday evening. From Monday into Tuesday, a long wave trough will be carved out over the Eastern U.S. and northwest flow will extend from the Northern Rockies to the Plains. On Wednesday, a strong short wave trough embedded in the northwest flow will be moving from the Central Rockies toward the Southern Plains.
The features above will lead to unseasonably cool air moving south across the Plains and numerous chances for precipitation.
A weak cold front moved into Oklahoma on Sunday and helped aid shower and thunderstorm development during the afternoon and evening. These storms will gradually weaken overnight, but a few may remain early on Monday, especially across Southern Oklahoma. By late afternoon, a much stronger cold front will be crossing out of Kansas into Oklahoma, and more showers and thunderstorms are likely along this boundary. The precipitation will spread toward Southern Oklahoma by Tuesday morning. Tuesday should be generally dry across the state. After Midnight, early Wednesday morning, a large complex of showers and thunderstorms is expected to develop over the Central High Plains and move toward the state. Widespread heavy precipitation will spread across the state through the day on Wednesday. This rainfall may result in flooding conditions in some areas.
The combination of cooler air with each cold front, and widespread cloud cover and precipitation will lead to much cooler than normal temperatures. The perfect combination could result in record low high temperatures by Wednesday.
Okarche Weather:
Monday morning: 72
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Monday: 95 / Showers and thunderstorms possible
Tuesday morning: 63
Tuesday: 83
Wednesday morning: 62 / Showers and thunderstorms likely
Wednesday: 70 / Showers and thunderstorms likely