An upper ridge of high pressure will dominate the weather across the Plains on Monday, while a storm system takes shape across the Western U.S. Models are in reasonably good agreement that a strong trough will be positioned over the Rockies by Wednesday with moderately strong southwest flow overspreading the Plains.
A weak front will be located just north of Oklahoma on Monday, but southwest winds will continue to usher in unseasonably warm air into the state. More record high temperatures can be expected on Monday and Tuesday as the general synoptic pattern will remain the same. The warm weather will continue through Wednesday.
Moisture will be increasing across the state through mid week, and a dryline will begin to oscillate between the Texas/Oklahoma border and I-35. Areas east of the dryline will see temperatures into the 90s and rather humid conditions, while west of the dryline, the air will be very dry allowing temperatures to push 100 degrees.
There are some model indications that thunderstorms may develop near the dryline over Western Oklahoma late on Wednesday. If storms do form, they will have the chance to become severe. A more likely period of showers and thunderstorms will exist between sunset on Wednesday and Thursday morning over the eastern half of the state.
Okarche Weather:
Monday morning: 62
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Monday: 97
Tuesday morning: 64
Tuesday: 98
Wednesday morning: 65
Wednesday: 93 / Showers and thunderstorms possible