Outlook (Thursday-Sunday)

Upper: This evening, a deep area of low pressure is centered over SW Washington.  Another trough of low pressure extends from the Western Great Lakes to the Ozarks.  In between a weak ridge of high pressure is found over the High Plains.  The ridge is expected to shift slightly eastward on Thursday, and build into the Northern Plains on Friday.  Generally weak flow aloft will be found over the state through Saturday before the ridge starts to flatten and shift east on Sunday.  There are also indications that a couple of weak low pressure circulations may slide under the Northern Plains ridge from SW to NE Texas.

Surface: In general, low pressure is expected to become established over the High Plains through the weekend.  High Pressure will be sliding southeastward through the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley.  Low level moisture is expected to surge northward across the state tonight and Saturday.  As cool and dry air moves southward over the eastern part of the U.S., some of this may work into the eastern parts of the state on Saturday and Sunday.

Impacts: The returning low level moisture will result in a few showers and thunderstorms over W Oklahoma as early as Thursday morning.  By afternoon, conditions for severe thunderstorms are expected to come together over the Texas Panhandle as 35 knot mid-level flow overrides a moist southeast surface flow.  These storms will affect portions of SW Oklahoma late in the afternoon and evening with the potential for some large hail and damaging wind gusts.  A few showers and thunderstorms will linger over the state through the nighttime hours into Friday morning.  On Friday, showers and thunderstorms will likely be limited to the Panhandle and Red River Valley.  Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely to continue across the state on Saturday and Sunday as well.  The greatest chance at a severe storm Friday through Sunday will be across the Panhandle.

Okarche Weather:

Thursday morning: 55 / Showers and thunderstorms

Thursday: 81 / Showers

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Friday: 79

Saturday morning: 64

Saturday: 80 / Showers and thunderstorms

Sunday morning: 63 / Showers

Sunday: 81 / Showers and thunderstorms