Outlook (Thursday-Sunday)

Through Friday, upper level low pressure will be found over the Northeast U.S. with a broad, weak ridge over the west.  Moderate west northwest flow will be found over the Plains.  A strong short wave trough will be swinging southeastward out of Canada on Saturday and a much stronger trough will be moving into the Northern Plains on Sunday.

A weak surface front will be nearly stationary in the vicinity of Southern Kansas and Northern Oklahoma through Sunday.  By Saturday evening, this boundary is expected to make a push southeastward through the state.  The proximity of the front, a trough of low pressure in the panhandles and a slow but steady increase in low level moisture, will result in widely scattered to scattered areas of showers and thunderstorms.  The most likely period for this to occur will be on Friday and Saturday.  Some places may see precipitation as early as Thursday evening, and precipitation may linger across Southeast Oklahoma as late as Sunday.  While no organized severe weather events are likely, the atmosphere on Friday and Saturday is expected to become sufficiently unstable to support vigorous convection at times.  With modest shear profiles, a few isolated severe events would not be out of the question.

As the front pushes through the state Saturday night and early Sunday morning, winds will become a bit gusty out of the northeast.

Overall, temperatures from Thursday through Sunday will be mild, falling a few degrees either side of normal.

Beyond this outlook period, a very strong cold front is expected to move southward through Oklahoma on Monday.  Very windy conditions, and cold temperatures will spill into the state with more freezing temperatures likely Monday and Tuesday nights.

Okarche weather:

Thursday morning: 42

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Friday morning: 53 / Showers and thunderstorms

Friday: 66 / Showers and thunderstorms

Saturday morning: 53 / Showers and thunderstorms

Saturday: 68 / Showers and thunderstorms

Sunday morning: 47 / Showers

Sunday: 61