A weak short wave trough will be moving into the central Plains this afternoon. In response, a fairly deep area of low pressure will develop in southeast Colorado with a surface front extending northeastward from the low into Minnesota. East of these features, winds will become gusty out of the southwest and temperatures will warm well into the 90’s. Low level moisture has been quite low over the past several days across the central and southern Plains, this will remain the case today and most areas west of a Wichita Falls, TX – Kansas City line will see humidity drop well below 20 percent.
Dry vegetation, winds gusting to at or above 30 mph, and the low humidity will create conditions favorable for the start and spread of wildfires this afternoon. In Oklahoma, the most likely area to see critical fire weather will be west of a line from Cookietown to Pink to Foraker. While located at the far eastern side of the risk area – Oklahoma City is included.
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