Isaac has spent the last 12 hours bumping along the Louisiana coast, moving very slow to the west northwest. It is currently located about midway between Cocodrie and Leeville near the Lafourche/Terrebonne Parish line. Enough land interaction has started weakening the system. The eye is starting to fill and most sustained winds are around 50 mph. There are numerous areas in southeast Louisiana where winds are still gusting to between 60 and 70 mph.
The latest HRRR suggests that Isaac won’t move much during the day and by 6 pm will be located somewhere just north or northwest of Morgan City.
After today, guidance is extremely spread with one camp taking the decaying storm west northwest into Texas before curving north into Oklahoma… and another camp taking the system toward Shreveport before turning north through western Arkansas. It’s very important for people in the path of Isaac to pay attention to forecasts during the next few days. While the wind threat will slowly subside during the next 24 hours, Isaac has the potential to be an incredible rain maker with major flooding and flash flooding expected. The tornado machine also seems to be turned on now with numerous tornado warnings having been issued between Mobile and New Orleans.
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There will be a sharp gradient of extreme rainfall associated with Isaac. 10 to 15 inches of rain will be possible over portions of central and eastern Louisiana, while southwest Louisiana may only see around an inch. The heaviest rain will occur near and to the east of the center.