“Hermine” center becoming difficult to locate

Trying to find the exact center of the low pressure area is becoming more and more difficult.  There are still radar indications that it could be located over eastern Caddo County… however, there is a strung out area of low pressure in mesonet data that extends east across Grady County.  The lowest pressure is at Chickasha and it is believed that this is where the center is likely reorganizing.  To what extent it reorganizes remains to be seen.  Dry air is evident on water vapor satellite imagery spreading into southwest Oklahoma which will continue to erode precipitation on the southwest side of the system.

An arc of heavy thunderstorms extends from northern Grady County to Pontotoc County to Marshall County.  A small supercell storm formed near the southeast corner of McClain County… however, this storm has weakened as it has moved into the southwest corner of Pottawatomie County.

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At 9:50 P.M…. the lowest pressure was 29.70 inches.

“Hermine” still in Comanche County

While I continue to refer to this system as “Hermine” – it has been many hours since it has been recognized by the National Hurricane Center as an organized system – having lost the necessary tropical characteristics to be considered a Tropical Depression.  Still, I feel that it warrants being referred to as something other than just “a low pressure area”.  So, I will continue to call this system “Hermine”.

At 8:50 P.M., careful examination of data from the TOKC TDWR shows a circulation center very close to Elgin in Comanche County.  This matches well with data from the Oklahoma Mesonet – meaning that Hermine has drifted only a few miles north over the past hour.  Three hour pressure falls are greatest over northern Grady County and Hermine should begin to move more to the northeast soon.

Rainfall totals are starting to become impressive with a swath of 4 to greater than 5 inch amounts observed from southern McClain to southern Grady Counties.  Also… greater than 4 inches of rain has fallen in parts of Love County.

The tornado threat has lessened over the past hour… but a few small supercells are still noted from eastern Love County northward to eastern Garvin and western Pontotoc Counties.

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Current lowest pressure: 29.68 inches.

The highest wind with the system occurred around Noon at Ninnekah in Grady County – 47 M.P.H.

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“Hermine” getting ready to move northeast out of Comanche County

At 7:50 P.M., the center of the circulation was over eastern Comanche County – just south of Elgin.  This indicates a little turn to the right over the past hour.  Very heavy rainfall continues in Grady, McClain and Garvin Counties where a Flash Flood Warning is in effect.

A Tornado Warning is in effect for eastern Love County where an isolated supercell is moving quickly northeast.  This storm produced a tornado earlier near Gainesville, Texas.

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“Hermine” moving northeast

At 6:50 P.M., the center of the circulation had moved northeast into southwest Comanche County and was located just northeast of Faxon.

Enhanced lift across a low level boundary to the northeast of the center was producing very heavy amounts of rain in southern Grady, McClain and Cleveland Counties.

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“Hermine” makes it to Oklahoma

At 5:50 P.M… the center of what is left of “Hermine” has crossed the Red River into southwest Oklahoma.  The circulation is very close to Grandfield where winds have become calm and the pressure has dropped to 29.69 inches.

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Most of the heavy rainfall has been confined to southern Oklahoma where several places have seen over three inches of rain during the past 24 hours.
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