Heat and Thunder… likely and possible…

Let the fun begin.  June 22nd marks the first day that the record high temperature in Okarche is 100 degrees or higher – for 78 straight days.  It only makes sense that we are pushing 100 degrees on the 23rd.

There is also a slight risk of severe thunderstorms this evening as a front has pushed into the northwest part of the state.  While little in the way of upward forcing exists – other than frontal convergence and surface heating… this should still be sufficient for the development of isolated storms.

Any storms that do form will likely produce marginally severe hail and strong gusty winds.  There will also be the potential for heat bursts when the storms rapidly weaken late this evening.
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Once considered rare… the occurrence of heat bursts seem to be more common than once thought.  A heat burst is characterized by strong winds and a rapid increase in temperature and decrease in dew point.  It is theorized that a heat burst is caused when rain evaporates into a parcel of dry air high in the atmosphere making the air denser than its surroundings.  The parcel descends rapidly, warming due to compression, overshoots its equilibrium level and reaches the surface.

One of the most important aspects of getting a heat burst is getting a thunderstorm to form in the first place.  If storms do form this evening… heat bursts will be possible.  Time will tell…