It’s Freezing!

With clear skies and light winds… temperatures fell off nicely overnight and for the first time this season – reached freezing in Okarche.  The temperature hit the magic number at 6:28 a.m.  This seasonal hurdle came just 2 hours and 37 minutes later than the first freeze of 2008 which occurred at 3:51 a.m. – also on the 27th of October.

The first freeze of 2009 comes six days earlier than the average of November 2nd.  In 17 years of record keeping… nine of the first freezes have occurred in October and eight in November.  From 1993 to 2008:

–         It is 47 days between the earliest and latest freeze

–         The earliest: October 8, 2000
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–         The latest: One year earlier on November 23, 1999

What kind of winter are we going to have?  It is doubtful that the date of the first freeze has any bearing on the type of winter we will have.  However, it’s interesting to note that after the earliest freeze in 2000 – we had the earliest one inch or greater snowfall of record on November 8th (3.2 inches).  Also… December came in with three snow events which totaled 11.0 inches.  After the latest freeze of record… the winter of 1999/2000 saw only one significant winter weather event – a snowfall of 10.2 inches which occurred on January 26/27th.

Based on this years first freeze… I have a pretty good idea on what kind of winter we will have this year.  I will release my outlook on April 1st, 2010.