Seasonably hot weather persists across the state, thanks in large part to an upper high centered over the Lower Mississippi Valley, with a ridge extending over the Southern Plains. A strong upper system is located over Idaho, and this feature is expected to move rapidly east northeastward across the Northern Great Lakes by Friday morning. There are significant differences between the Euro and GFS concerning the speed of this system, with the GFS being slowest. The root cause of the slower speed is a strong jet segment which will be diving south across the Canadian prairies, which will carve out a broad trough over the Great Lakes by early Sunday. This solution is preferred given the GFS continuity in handling these features. Through Saturday morning, Oklahoma will remain well south of the westerlies, but as the trough organizes over the Great Lakes, increasing northwest flow will spread across the Central and Southern Plains by Sunday.
A cold front will be pushing southeastward across Kansas on Thursday afternoon. It will remain hot across the state with gusty south winds. A few showers and thunderstorms are possible over the Panhandle, Thursday evening. The front will continue to edge southeastward with shower and thunderstorm chances spreading across North Central and Northwest Oklahoma by Friday morning.
The front will be passing across Central Oklahoma by late afternoon/early evening on Friday. The greatest chance for precipitation will be across the Panhandle and northwest, but showers and storms will work into much of Central and Northern Oklahoma from Friday night into Saturday morning. By daybreak on Saturday, the front will be across far southeast Oklahoma. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible statewide on Saturday, with activity diminishing from north to south by evening.
The front will begin to return northward by late on Sunday, with showers and thunderstorms possible across the Panhandle.
Temperatures ahead of the front will be above normal, with below normal temperatures expected behind it. By the weekend, fall-like temperatures will be felt across the Central Plains.
Okarche Weather:
Thursday morning: 75
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Friday morning: 74
Friday: 95 / Showers and thunderstorms possible
Saturday morning: 62 / Showers and thunderstorms possible
Saturday: 70 / Showers and thunderstorms possible
Sunday morning: 58
Sunday: 80