Category Archives: Upcoming Weather Event

SIGNIFICANT IMPACT SYSTEM – April 11-14, 2020

9:55 am /12th

Debris ball near Kingston, LA

9:30 am / 12th

It appears as if the strong cold front will be arriving in Okarche around 1 pm this afternoon.  It may have some associated showers or storms with it and will be followed with strong north winds gusting to 50 mph and much colder temperatures.

A freeze warning has been issued for tomorrow morning (Monday).  Preparations to protect tinder plants should be rushed to completion today.  This task may be more difficult after the stronger winds arrive around 1 pm.

A tornado outbreak is unfolding over the Lower Mississippi Valley.  One of the first signs of debris being lofted has been detected south of Scottsville, TX

The risk of strong or violent tornadoes will be highest later today over Mississippi and Alabama

8 am / 12th

However no matter what option you choose, it is always advisable that you seek proper medical help. tadalafil online 40mg You can find a list of suppliers, such as a Cheap Kamagra Supplier and purchase buy viagra professional tablets at just a click! Sexual health for living being matters of most significance, the cuddling, kissing, hugging all are the trigger lines which generates ultimate bliss by creating mood and developing eroticism. And with more blood flowing in and less flowing out, the arteries in the penis enlarge, resulting in an erection.Mechanism of actionKamagra 100mg tablets contain sildenafil which acts prescription free levitra on the erectile tissue of the penis to increase blood flow your penis area . Interesting remedies recommended, including eating the testes of a buy viagra online in goat. We have had minor heat bursts occurring on the northwest side of weakening convection over western and central Oklahoma this morning

After a morning with a temperature in the 50’s, we jumped to 67 degrees while our dew point in Okarche dropped to 40.

The anticipated strong cold front has moved across the panhandle and temperatures there have dropped into the 30’s with north winds gusting to near 50 mph.

7:30 pm / 11th

As expected, severe thunderstorms developed over northern Texas and southern Oklahoma this evening.  There have been some rotating storms that have likely produced some large hail and damaging winds.  One of the more impressive storms has been moving east southeast across Harmon and Jackson counties:

So… what happens now?  We are seeing storm development extending northeast across Washita County and this may extend into parts of Blaine/Canadian counties.  Storms should continue through most of the night with several waves developing and some isolated severe reports possible.  There have been some hi-res model signals of heat bursts developing with this activity that will be something to watch for toward the morning hours on Sunday.  Still a lot of other weather coming at us, but more on that in time.

2:00 am / 11th – The upper system analyzed over far southwest California will be will be swinging eastward across the Southern Plains and Mississippi Valley during the next 48 hours.  Before this is by on the 14th, we will have plenty to talk about.  There will be severe weather – including a possible major outbreak of severe storms and tornadoes on Eastern Sunday over the Lower Mississippi Valley.  We will have storms in Oklahoma…. a very strong front followed with some damaging winds.  There may be some snow get introduced in the forecast, and we have multiple frosts/freezes coming.

Instead of hitting it all at once, we will start with Saturday in Oklahoma.  This will be the last full warm day we have for a few days.  As the upper system approaches, surface low pressure will deepen just northwest of the state.  A surge of low level moisture will begin at daybreak on increasing south winds.  By early afternoon, the atmosphere will become sufficiently unstable for scattered severe thunderstorms to spread north across the Red River.  These may make it up to the I-40 corridor.  Hail around or larger than quarter size and some gusty winds will be the primary threats with these storms.  By later in the afternoon, more storms are likely to form near the western side of the higher low level moisture over western Oklahoma.  There is a non-zero tornado threat with this activity that will move toward central Oklahoma by late in the afternoon.

 

Strong storm system crosses Oklahoma Thursday

A powerful storm system will be moving across the state on Thursday.   A cold front will start moving across the Panhandle just after Midnight on Thursday… be about half way across the state by day break… and moving out of the southeast part of the state by the end of the day.  Low pressure will deepen along the front and move quickly eastward along the Red River.

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The biggest story Thursday will be the wind.  It will be windy area wide, but a broad area just northwest of the track of the surface low from the Panhandle southeastward into south central Oklahoma will likely see wind gusts to between 50 and 60 mph.  A few gusts in excess of 60 mph would not be out of the question.

Thanksgiving weather

The low temperature this morning in Okarche was 32 degrees… one degree lower than the average for Thanksgiving.

The forecast high today is 70 degrees… well above the 57 degree average for the holiday.
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Precipitation has only fallen on 7 of the last 36 Thanksgiving days.  Sunny skies are expected today as we continue to roll through a period of short-term drought.

…First freeze on the way…

The high temperature in Okarche on Wednesday the 25th was 78 degrees.  So far this Thursday, we have reached 76 degrees.   Don’t let it fool you, winter temperatures are on the way!

A strong cold front is moving across the Panhandle and far northwest Oklahoma early this afternoon.  Winds behind the front are gusting to between 40 and 50 mph and much cooler air will be filtering into the state tonight.  It appears that temperatures Friday morning will stay just above freezing in the Okarche area, but after a cold day Friday, the temperature is likely to fall into the 20’s by Saturday morning.  This should effectively put an end to the growing season.

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*** New data suggests that the temperature might be able to reach 32 degrees just before Midnight on Saturday, making the first freeze on the 27th ***

Temperatures will remain below seasonal average for the remainder of the month.

Hot Weather – Storm Chances

Some true summer weather is on tap for the area through the weekend.  The high temperature today (20th) in Okarche will exceed 100 degrees, and 100 degree temperatures will likely be reached each day through Sunday (23rd).

An upper high center over the state will begin to shift eastward and weaken by the weekend.  Eyes are on a strong upper wave over the Pacific Northwest that will move across the far northern Rockies, then dive southeastward toward the Midwest and Ohio Valley by Monday.  As this occurs, a weak cold front will begin to move into the state.   This will provide a focus for shower and thunderstorm development from late Sunday through early Tuesday.  It will also help drop temperatures back closer to seasonal values.
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The chance will be short-lived and hot weather will return to the area for the remainder of the coming week.

4th of July Forecast

Okarche, Oklahoma averages for July 4:

High: 93.7  –  Forecast: 90

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Rain has fallen on 6 of the last 35 July 4th’s – making rain chances around 17% based on climatology.  This year, there is a 60 percent chance of storms during the morning hours, decreasing to 20 percent during the afternoon and evening.  If the morning complex of storms is strong enough, we could end up with a very mild holiday with the high staying in the 80’s.  The record for the date is 108 degrees which was reached in 1996.

Powerful storm system bringing unusual weather to Christmas day…

A very strong storm system will be moving northeastward from the Rockies toward the Northern Plains today.  In advance of this system, a very warm and moist air mass has moved northward across Oklahoma.  The Midnight temperature Christmas morning in Okarche was 56 degrees.  The temperature rose to 65 degrees by 6 am – and the dew point was also 65 degrees!  Strong south and southeast winds have been gusting to between 40 and 55 mph across the state.  These are conditions that one would expect to find in the middle of May!

The most significant impacts from this storm system are going to remain north of the state.  A deep cyclone will be tracking from western Nebraska to southeast North Dakota, bringing full scale blizzard conditions to the Dakotas.  As the warm and moist air moves northward, there will be a risk of severe thunderstorms over Kansas and Nebraska.

In Oklahoma, there will also be a low end risk of severe weather this afternoon.  A dryline will be moving rapidly eastward across  the state today.  A narrow line of thunderstorms is expected to form along this feature which will be approaching the Okarche area between 1 and 2 pm.  There will be sufficient moisture and low level shear to support a couple of instances of damaging winds with the storms.  In addition, any sustained area of rotation along the line would be capable of producing a brief tornado.  Even outside of the thunderstorm line, winds will be quite strong across the state today with gusts to 50 mph not uncommon.  As dry air moves into western Oklahoma behind the dryline, fire danger will increase to near extreme levels.

For the record…

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The record high low temperature of 50 degrees would be set given the low so far this morning of 56 degrees.  However, temperatures by Midnight will have fallen into the 40’s which will keep that from occurring.

Also, the record high of 74 degrees is not likely to be reached as temperatures with extensive cloud cover will top out around 70 before precipitation arrives.

All in all, it’s going to be a Christmas to remember weatherwise.

First freeze likely upcoming weekend

The average first freeze in Okarche is October 31st.  Last year, the first freeze was three weeks late – coming on November 21st.  We’re not going to miss that by much this year.

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Leading up to this freeze, temperatures will remain above to well above average.  The weather should be nice – but breezy – for freeze preparations.

4th of July Weather in Okarche

The average high temperature in Okarche on July 4th is 93.7 degrees.  The coolest high temperature was 78 degrees in 1972, the warmest was 108 degrees in 1996.

The average low temperature is 69.8 degrees.  The coolest low temperature was 57 degrees in 1968, the warmest was 78 degrees in 1969, 1980, and 1996.

Precipitation has fallen on about 18 percent of the years.  The most was 2.41 inches in 2005.
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Thunder was observed on 6 out of the last 11 years.

The current forecast calls for sunny skies and a high around 90.

Flooding rainfall expected next 48 to 72 hours

An upper low over the Southern Rockies will be moving slowly northeastward this weekend, while abundant moisture moves northward across the Southern and Central Plains.  Thunderstorms are expected to increase across western Oklahoma later today (Saturday) and gradually spread eastward through Monday.  Model precipitation forecasts It cialis vs levitra prevents harming of the internal organs of the male reproductive system. If you are also thinking to take Kamagra tablets for Super Stamina and Performance Now the big question is: what can make you super energetic and productive? Well, medicines such as kamagra tablets or discount viagra medicines can make you a star in the bedroom. This is mandatory because the medicine needs some time to get dissolved into the blood for better effects after an hour. generic viagra uk But do these remedies viagra cost in india really work for men? Well, the scientific evidence for this is a bit shaky. have varied, but are in general consensus that a lot of rain will be falling across the state.  Some data suggests that 6 to 8 inches could fall in isolated areas.  Flood watches are already in effect and more will likely be needed – as well as flood and flash flood warnings before Monday.