Low level moisture was lacking, but it did appear that strong surface heating along a dryline would help in initiating scattered thunderstorms over Southwest Oklahoma and Northwest Texas during the late afternoon or early evening.  Several short range/high resolution models strongly suggested this scenario.

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Between 6 and 7 pm, scattered storms started forming over Northwest Texas.  These never became too impressive and struggled with limited moisture under a strong cap.  Even worse for me, storms never formed north of the Red River.  I came down from the top of the mountain just after 7 pm and worked my way northward – taking roads that I haven’t been on before – back to the house.